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Gram (ex-Toncoin) (GRAM): price, trend, volatility and tested rules

Daily closes from Gate.io (UTC). Last day: 2026-10-28.

This coin trades on Gate.io, not Binance. Liquidity is low, so prices can jump on small trades.

Diagnosis in plain words

A summary of data, not investment advice. Patterns from the past can stop working.

Last 12 months

Numbers

Price$1.24
Change, 7 days-8.6%
Change, 30 days-21.1%
Change, 1 year-44.7%
vs 50-day average-11.4%
vs 200-day average-19.8%
Volatility (30 days, yearly)60%
From the highest close since 2023 ($8.18 on 2024-06-14)-84.8%
$100 invested a year ago is now$55
Correlation with Bitcoin (90 days)0.55

Correlation: 1 = moves exactly with Bitcoin, 0 = no link, −1 = moves opposite. Most coins are above 0.6, so owning several of them is not much safer than owning one.

What the tested rules say today

These are today's states of rules from the hypotheses. None of them has passed its test, so they are not buy or sell signals. They show what each rule would do, so you can watch how it behaves.

RuleToday Tested in
Trend: price above its 50-day averageout of the marketH-005 Fail H-018 Weak
1-week momentum: price higher than 7 days agoout of the marketH-014 Weak
Volatility targeting (30%/yr): share of a full position50%H-012 Weak H-013 Weak
Market regime: Bitcoin above its 200-day averagein the marketH-017 Fail H-019 Weak

Which tested rules worked on this coin

Every tested rule applied to this coin since 2022-01-01, fees included. Exploration, not verdicts.

Rule✓ResultSharpe: rule / holdingCAGRFrom
H-005Hold while price is above its 50-day average↑better than holding, could be luck0.54 / 0.18+16% / -14%2023-05-02
H-006Hold while stablecoin growth is above normal↑better than holding, could be luck0.36 / 0.13+5% / -17%2023-03-14
H-007Leave when BTC funding is unusually high✗worse than holding-0.33 / 0.13-35% / -17%2023-03-14
H-008Leave when Fear & Greed is 75 or more✗worse than holding-0.17 / 0.13-30% / -17%2023-03-14
H-009Hold only after net inflows to BTC ETFs↑better than holding, could be luck0.36 / 0.14+3% / -18%2024-01-20
H-012Volatility targeting (30% a year)✗worse than holding0.01 / 0.16-6% / -15%2023-04-13
H-0147-day momentum✗worse than holding0.00 / 0.14-13% / -17%2023-03-21
H-015Hold only on Mondays✗worse than holding-0.95 / 0.13-30% / -17%2023-03-14
H-016Hold only around the turn of the month✗worse than holding-0.06 / 0.13-6% / -17%2023-03-14
H-017Hold only while BTC is above its 200-day average✗worse than holding-0.15 / 0.13-23% / -17%2023-03-14
H-020Leave on heavy BTC deposits to exchanges✗worse than holding-0.26 / 0.13-32% / -17%2023-03-14
H-021Leave on heavy ETH deposits to exchanges✗worse than holding-0.31 / 0.13-32% / -17%2023-03-14

Studies that include this coin

Glossary